Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Indy Eleven 1-0 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven edged past Rhode Island 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Indy Eleven made the difference. The one blemish: both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.
On the day, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.71 to 1.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rhode Island.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.40 for Rhode Island.
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 1 - 0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 35%, draw 27%, Rhode Island 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.