Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Indy Eleven 1-0 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven edged past Rhode Island 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Indy Eleven made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.71 to 1.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rhode Island.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.40 for Rhode Island.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Indy Eleven 1-0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 39%, draw 25%, Rhode Island 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.