Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rhode Island v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Rhode Island 1-0 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Rhode Island edged past Indy Eleven 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Rhode Island had 48% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 52%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.91 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rhode Island and 1.75 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?
Rhode Island 1-0 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 46%, draw 28%, Indy Eleven 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.