Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-2 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.6pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.41/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.32
-20% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.3 Crosses 18.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Louisville City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
224 Passes 408
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Louisville City Louisville City 0-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
20.06.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
23.03.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 3-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
13.07.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
02.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
30.10.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 2-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0-2
AWAY Louisville City
1.07 xG 1.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
341 Passes 160
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
26 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City saw off Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Louisville City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 64% of the ball to Louisville City's 36%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.07 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-2 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35%, draw 26%, Louisville City 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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