Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-3 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.48/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.65
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.1 Crosses 16.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.84 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
306 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-2 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
28.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 HT 2-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
21.08.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
3-3
AWAY Colorado Springs
0.89 xG 1.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
289 Passes 426
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies and Colorado Springs shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 43% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 57%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.89 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.00 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Colorado Springs?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-3 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 49%, draw 23%, Colorado Springs 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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