New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-2
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 0-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa edged past New Mexico United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day FC Tulsa made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New Mexico United had 69% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 31%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.16 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured New Mexico United.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New Mexico United and 2.17 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
New Mexico United 0-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 40%, draw 25%, FC Tulsa 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.