New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 0-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa found just enough to beat New Mexico United 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
A gentle 41% lean on New Mexico United didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 69% to 31% in New Mexico United's favour, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.16 to 0.69 — by the quality of chances, New Mexico United deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for New Mexico United against 2.17 for FC Tulsa.
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 0 - 1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 41%, draw 27%, FC Tulsa 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.