FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Tulsa v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Tulsa 5-2 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa ran out comfortable winners over New Mexico United 5-2. The 1-2 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) landed.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 30% of the ball to New Mexico United's 70%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.18 to 1.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.83 for New Mexico United.
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
FC Tulsa 5 - 2 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 49%, draw 25%, New Mexico United 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.