Loudoun United 2-5 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 25%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.78/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.21
+47% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
16.9 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY San Antonio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 311
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-2 HT 1-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
19.03.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-1 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
11.08.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 1-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
2-5
AWAY San Antonio
1.37 xG 2.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 5
321 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio ran out comfortable winners over Loudoun United 5-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Loudoun United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Loudoun United had 48% of the ball to San Antonio's 52%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 1.37 to 2.83.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Loudoun United and 1.67 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs San Antonio?

Loudoun United 2-5 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 51%, draw 21%, San Antonio 28%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loudoun United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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