Louisville City 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
14%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 24% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.26
+29% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.1 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Louisville City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.86 xG 1.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
390 Passes 235
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
23.03.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 3-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
13.07.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
02.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
30.10.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 2-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
11.09.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louisville City
0-0
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.78 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
337 Passes 232
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Louisville City carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Louisville City had 58% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 42%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Louisville City and 0.67 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Louisville City 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 55%, draw 24%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
11 May 2025
01:00 Loudoun United vs Lexington Analysis →
02:00 Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery Analysis →
03:00 FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →
03:30 San Antonio vs Oakland Roots Analysis →
04:00 New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →