Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-3 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 49%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.04/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.22
-49% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.2 Crosses 14.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.27 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
285 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
10.11.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
22.09.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-1 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
28.07.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 HT 1-2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
13.04.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
26.03.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-0 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-3
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.25 xG 2.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
305 Passes 534
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery got the better of Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Charleston Battery found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 39% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 61%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.25 to 2.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.33 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-3 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 37%, draw 25%, Charleston Battery 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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