Loudoun United vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loudoun United v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United 5-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Loudoun United cruised past Lexington 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Loudoun United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Loudoun United had 55% of the ball to Lexington's 45%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.47 to 0.50.
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Lexington?
Loudoun United 5-1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 44%, draw 22%, Lexington 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.