San Antonio 1-2 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.51/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.43
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.5 Crosses 14.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 276
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2025 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-2 HT 1-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
15.09.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
05.05.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-2 HT 0-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
01.10.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-2 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
12.03.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-1 HT 2-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
29.10.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 3-0 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-2
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.38 xG 1.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
431 Passes 262
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots squeezed past San Antonio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, San Antonio had 60% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 40%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.38 to 1.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Antonio.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for San Antonio and 1.00 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?

San Antonio 1-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 50%, draw 23%, Oakland Roots 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Antonio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Over 2.5
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