Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Indy Eleven 1-0 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven squeezed past Rhode Island 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Indy Eleven found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 42% of the ball to Rhode Island's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.86 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 2.00 for Rhode Island.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Indy Eleven 1-0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 37%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rhode Island) went the other way.