FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Tulsa v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Tulsa came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Las Vegas Lights 4-3. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for FC Tulsa against 0.83 for Las Vegas Lights.
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights Result & Final Score
FC Tulsa 4 - 3 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 62%, draw 23%, Las Vegas Lights 15%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.