Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oakland Roots v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-2
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
0-2
HT 0-2
Oakland Roots
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Oakland Roots 1-2 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Oakland Roots at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 47% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 53%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Oakland Roots.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oakland Roots and 0.83 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising?
Oakland Roots 1-2 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 45%, draw 24%, Phoenix Rising 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.