Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Oakland Roots v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Oakland Roots 1-2 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 2-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Oakland Roots at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 47% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 53%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.72 — on chances, Oakland Roots could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oakland Roots and 0.83 for Phoenix Rising.
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
Oakland Roots 1 - 2 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 41%, draw 28%, Phoenix Rising 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oakland Roots), Under 2.5 went the other way.