San Antonio 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.28/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.29
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.0 Crosses 17.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
272 Passes 219
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
17.09.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-3 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
08.10.2017 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-0
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.43 xG 0.64
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
395 Passes 192
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio squeezed past Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day San Antonio made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, San Antonio had 65% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 35%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.43 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Antonio and 2.00 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

San Antonio 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 34%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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