Detroit City 1-2 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
27%
3.71
6+ Goals
7%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.01/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.70
-37% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.7 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-2 HT 2-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLKP
11.05.2025 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
01.09.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
01.08.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
24.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
15.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-3 HT 1-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
1-2
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.19 xG 1.66
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 Passes 100
79% Pass Accuracy 52%
28 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic nicked a narrow win over Detroit City 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Detroit City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Detroit City had 69% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 31%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.19 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Detroit City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Detroit City and 0.83 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic?

Detroit City 1-2 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 44%, draw 25%, Hartford Athletic 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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