New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Charleston Battery — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Charleston Battery
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
New Mexico United
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Charleston Battery
USLP
New Mexico United 1-2 Charleston Battery — Actual Match Statistics
Charleston Battery nicked a narrow win over New Mexico United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Charleston Battery made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 57% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 43%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.78 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured New Mexico United.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New Mexico United and 1.50 for Charleston Battery.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
New Mexico United 1-2 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 39%, draw 30%, Charleston Battery 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.