Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Miami FC v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Miami FC
USLP
4-1
HT 1-0
Miami FC
USLP
Miami FC 3-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Miami FC beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Miami FC had 60% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 40%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.82 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Miami FC and 2.17 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Miami FC 3-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 29%, draw 30%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.