Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies ran out comfortable winners over Monterey Bay 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 49% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.63.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.33 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 50%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.