Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loudoun United v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
6-1
HT 3-0
Loudoun United
USLP
Loudoun United 0-1 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion squeezed past Loudoun United 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Loudoun United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Loudoun United had 65% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 35%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.11 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Loudoun United and 2.33 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion?
Loudoun United 0-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 55%, draw 20%, Birmingham Legion 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.