Colorado Springs 1-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.50/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.29
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.1 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
0W-1D-5L
AWAY San Antonio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 224
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2025 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 0-2 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLKP
24.04.2025 San Antonio San Antonio 3-2 HT 0-2 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
13.10.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-2 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
24.03.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
22.10.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
10.09.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-0
AWAY San Antonio
0.68 xG 0.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
209 Passes 359
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs nicked a narrow win over San Antonio 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 39% of the ball to San Antonio's 61%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.68 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.83 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs San Antonio?

Colorado Springs 1-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 43%, draw 24%, San Antonio 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5
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