Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 2-0 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City beat Indy Eleven 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Louisville City had 45% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 55%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.85 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Louisville City and 1.33 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Louisville City 2-0 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 70%, draw 16%, Indy Eleven 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.