Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Louisville City v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Louisville City 2-0 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City beat Indy Eleven 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Louisville City had 45% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 55%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.85 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Louisville City and 1.33 for Indy Eleven.
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Result & Final Score
Louisville City 2 - 0 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 70%, draw 17%, Indy Eleven 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.