FC Tulsa 3-0 Lexington — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — USL Championship, 5 Oct 2025

FC Tulsa Elo 1685 · World #385 (clubs) LDWDL→
3 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Lexington Elo 1658 · World #488 (clubs) LWDWL→
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

FC Tulsa vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 05:20
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.85
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.04
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.51
6+
5%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

FC Tulsa v Lexington — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FC Tulsa The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Lexington The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.61 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
1.02 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2

FC Tulsa vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lexington
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.66 xG 0.10
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
165 Passes 401
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.05.2025 Lexington Lexington 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP

FC Tulsa 3-0 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
3 - 0
AWAY Lexington
1.65 xG 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
196 Passes 274
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW FC Tulsa vs Lexington
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FC Tulsa ran out comfortable winners over Lexington 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Lexington saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.65 to 0.40.

FC Tulsa vs Lexington Result & Final Score

FC Tulsa 3 - 0 Lexington in the USL Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FC Tulsa vs Lexington Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 48%, draw 27%, Lexington 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Tulsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
5 Oct 2025
00:00 Loudoun United vs Birmingham Legion Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Analysis →
02:30 Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay Analysis →
03:00 Colorado Springs vs San Antonio Analysis →
05:00 Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →