Monterey Bay 2-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
45%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-11.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 61%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.16/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.35
-15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.6 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.25 xG 1.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
286 Passes 457
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-1 HT 1-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
03.10.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-2 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
2-2
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.32 xG 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
283 Passes 359
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay and Tampa Bay Rowdies shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 46% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 54%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.32 to 2.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 3.00 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Monterey Bay 2-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 28%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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