Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Sep 2025

📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.77/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.24
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Buxton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
05.11.2024 Buxton Buxton 2-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
02.03.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-0 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
21.10.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.04.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.11.2022 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2-1
AWAY Buxton
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic nicked a narrow win over Buxton 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Scarborough Athletic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 47% of the ball to Buxton's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.00 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?

Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Buxton in the England - Conference on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 45%, draw 22%, Buxton 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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