Buxton 2-0 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.04/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.17
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
238 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-0 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
21.10.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.04.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.11.2022 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
11.01.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
07.12.2021 Buxton Buxton 5-1 HT 2-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
2-0
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton beat Scarborough Athletic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Buxton made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Buxton had 59% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 41%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Buxton and 0.83 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic?

Buxton 2-0 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Buxton 32%, draw 28%, Scarborough Athletic 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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