Scarborough Athletic 0-3 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

Scarborough Athletic
0-3 HT 0-1
Buxton
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Scarborough Athletic v Buxton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.26/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.18
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Buxton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.11.2024 Buxton Buxton 2-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
02.03.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-0 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
21.10.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.04.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.11.2022 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
11.01.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP

Scarborough Athletic 0-3 Buxton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
0-3
AWAY Buxton
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton swept aside Scarborough Athletic 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Buxton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 55% of the ball to Buxton's 45%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 0.67 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?

Scarborough Athletic 0-3 Buxton in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 39%, draw 28%, Buxton 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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