Progrès Niederkorn U19 3-0 HB U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

Progrès Niederkorn U19
3-0 HT 2-0
HB U19
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Progrès Niederkorn U19 vs HB U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
21%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.35
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.52
X/2
13%
8.41
X/X
9%
5.89
2/1
9%
20.75
2/2
13%
5.54
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.7
Value flag · 2/X at 13.7 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Progrès Niederkorn U19 v HB U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progrès Niederkorn U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY HB U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Progrès Niederkorn U19 vs HB U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progrès Niederkorn U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY HB U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
18.09.2024 HB U19 1-2 Progrès Niederkorn U19 UEGL

Progrès Niederkorn U19 3-0 HB U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progrès Niederkorn U19
3-0
AWAY HB U19
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Progrès Niederkorn U19 vs HB U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progrès Niederkorn U19 cruised past HB U19 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Progrès Niederkorn U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Progrès Niederkorn U19 vs HB U19?

Progrès Niederkorn U19 3-0 HB U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progrès Niederkorn U19 vs HB U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progrès Niederkorn U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Progrès Niederkorn U19 43%, draw 28%, HB U19 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progrès Niederkorn U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Progrès Niederkorn U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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