Valletta U19 3-2 Honka U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
46%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.43
Over Pick
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.11
2-3
39%
1.96
4-5
26%
2.74
6+
11%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
9.18
1/2
6%
19.9
1/X
4%
17.6
X/1
10%
12.85
X/2
16%
3.77
X/X
13%
7.08
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.77
2/X
8%
17.3
Value flag · 1/1 at 9.18 — our 14% vs market 7.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
16%
+12.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
46%
Away Win
64%
-17.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Honka U19 EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Honka U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.09.2024 Honka U19 Honka U19 1-0 HT 0-0 Valletta U19 Valletta U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta U19
3-2
AWAY Honka U19
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valletta U19 vs Honka U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta U19 squeezed past Honka U19 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Honka U19 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Valletta U19 had 36% of the ball to Honka U19's 64%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of Valletta U19 vs Honka U19?

Valletta U19 3-2 Honka U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta U19 vs Honka U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Honka U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valletta U19 29%, draw 25%, Honka U19 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Honka U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Honka U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
2 Oct 2024
15:00 Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern München U19 Analysis →
15:00 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 vs Atalanta U19 Analysis →
15:00 Girona U19 vs Feyenoord U19 Analysis →
15:00 Dinamo Zagreb U19 vs Monaco U19 Analysis →
15:00 2 Korriku U19 vs Bylis U19 Analysis →
15:00 Academia Rebeja U19 vs Kairat U19 Analysis →