Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.31
2-3 Goals
39%
2.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.6
X/1
25%
3.79
X/2
6%
15.25
X/X
11%
8.14
2/1 EV+ ✓
12%
19.2
2/2
10%
10.3
2/X
4%
18.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
2.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.85
+21% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +20%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
495 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.9 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.65 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
423 Passes 420
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
31.03.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
08.10.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
29.01.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool FAK
14.01.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
01.10.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 3-3 HT 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
2-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.65 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
367 Passes 407
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool edged past Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool had 49% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 51%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.65 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Liverpool and 2.17 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 58%, draw 22%, Brighton & Hove Albion 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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