Bray Wanderers 2-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.36
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 35% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
11%
4.11
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.62
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.50
+32% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
13.06.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
10.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
05.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
06.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Athlone Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers and Athlone Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bray Wanderers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Athlone Town's 44%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bray Wanderers and 0.67 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town?

Bray Wanderers 2-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 48%, draw 25%, Athlone Town 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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