Forge 1-0 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
0.96/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-9% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
14.6 Crosses 12.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.82 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
410 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
11.08.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
29.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 4-3 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
25.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
08.10.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
27.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
1-0
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.98 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
311 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forge vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge squeezed past Atletico Ottawa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Forge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Forge had 46% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 54%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.98 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forge and 1.67 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Forge 1-0 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Forge 38%, draw 25%, Atletico Ottawa 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →