VSK Arhus 2-3 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.84/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.54
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Avarta
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 Avarta Avarta 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
18.05.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
28.04.2024 Avarta Avarta 2-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
01.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 6-2 HT 3-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
10.09.2023 Avarta Avarta 1-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avarta edged past VSK Arhus 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was VSK Arhus at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for VSK Arhus and 1.00 for Avarta.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Avarta?

VSK Arhus 2-3 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 52%, draw 27%, Avarta 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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