Parma vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Parma v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Parma 1-3 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna had too much for Parma 3-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Parma had 60% of the ball to Bologna's 40%, shots finished 10-2, expected goals 0.47 to 2.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parma and 1.83 for Bologna.
Parma vs Bologna Result & Final Score
Parma 1 - 3 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Parma vs Bologna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Parma 20%, draw 31%, Bologna 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.