Parma 1-3 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 2 Nov 2025

Parma
1 - 3 HT 1 - 1
Bologna
📅02/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.51
Over
37%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.24
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
15%
5.14
6+
2%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.42
1/2
3%
32.0
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
8%
8.4
X/2
19%
4.3
X/X
21%
3.69
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.64
2/X
5%
14.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Parma The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 52%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
1.17 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.72
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Strong
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bologna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 0.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
269 Passes 434
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
06.10.2024 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
07.02.2021 Parma Parma 0-3 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
28.09.2020 Bologna Bologna 4-1 HT 2-0 Parma Parma İTA
12.07.2020 Parma Parma 2-2 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
24.11.2019 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
1 - 3
AWAY Bologna
0.47 xG 2.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
148 Passes 367
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 36
4 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Parma vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bologna had too much for Parma 3-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Parma had 60% of the ball to Bologna's 40%, shots finished 10-2, expected goals 0.47 to 2.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parma and 1.83 for Bologna.

Parma vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Parma 1 - 3 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Parma vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Parma 20%, draw 31%, Bologna 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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