Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fiorentina v Lecce — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fiorentina 0-1 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics
Lecce squeezed past Fiorentina 1-0 on the road.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fiorentina at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.
On the day, possession split 63% to 37% in Fiorentina's favour, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.46 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Fiorentina against 1.00 for Lecce.
Fiorentina vs Lecce Result & Final Score
Fiorentina 0 - 1 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 59%, draw 26%, Lecce 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.