Milan vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Milan v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Milan 1-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Milan came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Roma 1-0.
From a near-even 39% / 33% / 27% read, it was Milan who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Milan had 37% of the ball to Roma's 63%, shots finished 17-20, expected goals 3.40 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Milan's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Milan and 2.17 for Roma.
Milan vs Roma Result & Final Score
Milan 1 - 0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Milan vs Roma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Milan 39%, draw 33%, Roma 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.