Oita Trinita 1-2 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.84/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.90
-25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 413
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
07.09.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
09.06.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
29.07.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
17.05.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 5-0 HT 2-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
16.10.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
1-2
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
416 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata nicked a narrow win over Oita Trinita 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 59% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 41%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Oita Trinita and 2.50 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

Oita Trinita 1-2 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 25%, draw 29%, Montedio Yamagata 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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