Club America 2-0 Leon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Leon EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.02/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.78
+13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.8 Crosses 14.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Leon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.86 xG 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 298
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.02.2025 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
06.10.2024 Leon Leon 1-1 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
11.02.2024 Leon Leon 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
03.12.2023 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
30.11.2023 Leon Leon 2-2 HT 2-1 Club America Club America MEK
27.08.2023 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-0
AWAY Leon
1.47 xG 0.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
316 Passes 387
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Leon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America got the better of Leon 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Club America had 46% of the ball to Leon's 54%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club America and 0.83 for Leon.

What was the final score of Club America vs Leon?

Club America 2-0 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Leon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Club America 65%, draw 22%, Leon 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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