Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Tijuana
MEK
Pumas UNAM 4-1 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM ran out comfortable winners over Tijuana 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 52% of the ball to Tijuana's 48%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.09 to 1.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.67 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana?
Pumas UNAM 4-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 53%, draw 24%, Tijuana 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.