Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Tijuana
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Tijuana 4-2 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana got the better of Pumas UNAM 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tijuana had 53% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 47%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.19 to 2.07 — on chances, Pumas UNAM could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tijuana and 1.33 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM?
Tijuana 4-2 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 42%, draw 24%, Pumas UNAM 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.