Tigres UANL 0-1 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.70/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.48
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.4 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
400 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
29.02.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
09.07.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.02.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
27.07.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
26.02.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-3 HT 0-3 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
0-1
AWAY FC Juarez
1.52 xG 0.44
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
362 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 3
30 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez edged past Tigres UANL 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Tigres UANL carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 60% of the ball to FC Juarez's 40%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.44 — on chances, Tigres UANL could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.50 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez?

Tigres UANL 0-1 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 56%, draw 24%, FC Juarez 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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