Monterrey 1-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.23/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.14
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 83%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.2 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.90 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
20.10.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 4-2 HT 3-2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
13.05.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
10.05.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-2 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
14.04.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-3 HT 1-2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
24.09.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.81 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
430 Passes 397
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Tigres UANL shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Monterrey had 52% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.81 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monterrey and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Tigres UANL?

Monterrey 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 41%, draw 24%, Tigres UANL 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ BTTS Yes
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