Tigres UANL vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Monterrey
CONLK
Tigres UANL 2-1 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Monterrey 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tigres UANL found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 54% of the ball to Monterrey's 46%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 0.90 to 1.67 — on chances, Monterrey could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.83 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Tigres UANL 2-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 37%, draw 25%, Monterrey 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.