Leon vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-4
HT 1-3
Leon
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Leon
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Puebla
MEK
Leon 1-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Leon squeezed past Puebla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Leon had 67% of the ball to Puebla's 33%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.19 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leon and 1.67 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Leon vs Puebla?
Leon 1-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leon 46%, draw 30%, Puebla 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.