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Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Brisbane Roar (K) 2-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar (K) and Wellington Phoenix (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 49% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 51%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.34 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.00 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Brisbane Roar (K) 2-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 34%, draw 24%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.