Rochdale 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Feb 2024

Rochdale
1-2 HT 1-2
Dagenham & Redbridge
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.81
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
15%
5.4
X/2
11%
5.24
X/X
9%
4.48
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.66
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Dagenham & Redbridge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
2.35/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
+71% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
01.02.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN2
26.10.2013 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
12.01.2013 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
22.09.2012 Rochdale Rochdale 2-2 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN2
08.01.2011 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN1

Rochdale 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
1-2
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
60% Ball Possession 40%
3 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge nicked a narrow win over Rochdale 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dagenham & Redbridge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rochdale had 60% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 40%, shots finished 3-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rochdale and 1.50 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Rochdale 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 38%, draw 26%, Dagenham & Redbridge 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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