Preston North End 3-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.39
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
12%
6.77
X/2
16%
4.25
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.83
2/X
11%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.26/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.85
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
17.3 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 253
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
19.04.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 4-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
03.11.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
24.02.2018 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
04.11.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
28.01.2017 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
3-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
0.74 xG 2.61
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
176 Passes 432
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 40
17 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End edged past Ipswich Town 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Preston North End found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Preston North End had 34% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 66%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 0.74 to 2.61 — on chances, Ipswich Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Preston North End and 1.67 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Ipswich Town?

Preston North End 3-2 Ipswich Town in the England - Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 31%, draw 29%, Ipswich Town 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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