Compostela 1-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +7%
1.67/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
+34% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 3-4 HT 2-3 Compostela Compostela İS4
26.03.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-1 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
05.11.2022 Compostela Compostela 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
16.12.2015 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İSPFK
02.12.2015 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İSPFK
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela and Gimnastica Torrelavega shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Compostela at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Compostela had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Compostela and 1.00 for Gimnastica Torrelavega.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Compostela 1-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Compostela 45%, draw 26%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Compostela), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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