Valencia II 0-1 Lleida Esportiu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+8.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.70/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.07
-32% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia II
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 3-2 HT 0-2 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
05.02.2023 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-2 HT 1-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
18.09.2022 Valencia II Valencia II 1-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
12.01.2020 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 2-1 HT 1-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
14.04.2018 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 3-2 HT 2-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
0-1
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Lleida Esportiu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lleida Esportiu nicked a narrow win over Valencia II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lleida Esportiu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valencia II had 64% of the ball to Lleida Esportiu's 36%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lleida Esportiu led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Valencia II and 1.80 for Lleida Esportiu.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Lleida Esportiu?

Valencia II 0-1 Lleida Esportiu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Lleida Esportiu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 37%, draw 30%, Lleida Esportiu 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valencia II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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