Grosseto 3-3 Figline — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
45%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grosseto The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Figline The Market 34%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-58% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grosseto
3-3
AWAY Figline
69% Ball Possession 31%
28 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Grosseto vs Figline
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grosseto and Figline couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Grosseto at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grosseto had 69% of the ball to Figline's 31%, shots finished 28-4.

What was the final score of Grosseto vs Figline?

Grosseto 3-3 Figline in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grosseto vs Figline?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grosseto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grosseto 42%, draw 30%, Figline 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grosseto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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